NATO is Concerned over Wagner Presence in Belarus

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NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has assured that the alliance is prepared to counter any threat stemming from the relocation of Russia's Wagner mercenary force to Belarus.

However, the move of relocation has raised fears of potential instability in Eastern European NATO member states.

Here is an overview of the situation and the responses from NATO and key stakeholders.

NATO's Stance and Preparedness:

NATO is fully committed to defending itself against any risks posed by the deployment of Wagner mercenaries in Belarus.

Stoltenberg emphasized the alliance's dedication to protect every NATO member and territory against threats from both Moscow and Minsk.

In addition, efforts have already been made to reinforce military presence in Eastern Europe.

Similarly, some more decisions are expected at the upcoming summit.

The Concern of NATO Members over Wagner:

Leaders from NATO member states also have shared deep concerns about the threat posed by the Wagner group.

Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda has warned of increased danger to neighboring countries and emphasized the need for strong decisions.

He was quoted by Al-Jazeera as saying, “If Wagner deploys its serial killers in Belarus, all neighbouring countries face even bigger danger of instability.”

The President of Poland Andrzej Duda desired that the threat posed by Wagner mercenaries to NATO would be on the agenda at a summit of all 31 members in Vilnius, Lithuania, on July 11-12.

“This is really serious and very concerning, and we have to make very strong decisions. It requires a very, very tough answer of NATO,” Duda was quoted.

However, the implications of Wagner's presence in Belarus for NATO allies remain uncertain at this stage.

Putin's Response and Attempts to Reinforce Authority:

Russian President Vladimir Putin's supporters maintained that the revolt has not weakened his rule.

Putin expressed gratitude to regular Russian troops for their victory to avert a civil war.

He revealed that the Wagner Group was fully funded by the Russian federal budget and disclosed the salaries paid to the group since the invasion of Ukraine.

Lukashenko's Perspective and Collaborative Opportunities:

Belarusian President Lukashenko advises Putin against taking action against Prigozhin by emphasizing the potential value of the Wagner fighters for Belarus.

He believes that the mercenaries could provide insights into successful tactics and weaponry used in Ukraine.

According to the reports, Belarus is constructing military camps to accommodate Wagner fighters.

The report of ISW:

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have raised concerns about Belarus being a secure haven for Wagner fighters if Putin reneges on his deal not to prosecute them for mutiny.

The ISW suggested that the Kremlin may view Wagner personnel following Prigozhin to Belarus as traitors, regardless of immediate action taken against them.

Putin aims to undermine Prigozhin's reputation, reduce his popular support, and diminish his financial power.

(Courtesy: Al-Jazeera)